The Market Is Pricing a Deal. No Deal Exists.
Trump called the Iran war "very close to over." Oil fell to $92. But the ceasefire expires in five days and the US has not formally agreed to extend it.
Timely coverage of crude prices, OPEC decisions, and energy market developments.
Trump called the Iran war "very close to over." Oil fell to $92. But the ceasefire expires in five days and the US has not formally agreed to extend it.
US warships are blockading Iranian ports while diplomats return to Islamabad. The market cannot price both outcomes at once — and that tension shows in the price.
Attacks on Saudi oil facilities and the East-West pipeline cut 600,000 bpd of production capacity and struck the kingdom's main bypass around a closed Strait of Hormuz.
WTI has stabilized around $95 after the biggest one-day crash since 1991. Here is what the next two weeks will determine.
A last-minute US-Iran ceasefire sent WTI plunging 18% to $92 — the sharpest one-day oil crash since 1991, outside of COVID. But the Strait of Hormuz is not fully open yet.
Iran turned down a 45-day ceasefire framework hours before Trump's Tuesday 8 p.m. deadline, leaving oil markets paralyzed between a deal and escalation.
WTI crude briefly topped $114 and flipped above Brent in a historic inversion, while OPEC+ made a symbolic output hike and warned war damage will take years to repair.
WTI surged 13% after Trump's April 1 address offered no exit plan for the Iran war, with U.S. gasoline crossing $4/gallon and the OPEC+ meeting just three days away.
WTI closed above $100 for the first time since 2022 as Trump threatened to destroy an Iranian oil facility, with Brent on track for its biggest monthly gain on record.
WTI touched $100 and Brent hit $112 on Friday as Iran rejected direct U.S. negotiations, with Trump's April 6 deadline now the next flashpoint for energy markets.
U.S. pump prices are caught between a Hormuz-driven supply crunch and tariff-weakened demand forecasts. What drivers should expect this spring.
OPEC+ faces its most consequential meeting in years as falling demand forecasts, the Hormuz crisis, and trade war uncertainty all land at once.
Escalating U.S. tariffs are rippling through global energy markets in 2026, pressuring oil demand forecasts and adding new uncertainty for crude traders.
The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20% of the world's seaborne oil. When it closes, even partially, the consequences ripple through every fuel price on earth. Here's what's happening and what it means.
Every spring, refineries switch blends, demand picks up, and pump prices follow. Here's the seasonal pattern that plays out like clockwork, until it doesn't.
A look at the key factors driving WTI crude oil prices in 2026, including OPEC+ policy, U.S. shale production, and global demand trends.